"GUARANTEED to be somewhat reliable"
The Days - 1) 6/4...101 2) 6/15...100 3) 6/16...105 4) 6/17.....101 5) 7/10....100 6) 7/11...103 7) 7/12....103 8) 7/21...101 9) 7/22....103 10) 8/8....100 11) 8/9....103 12) 8/10...103 13) 8/11...105 14) 8/12....102 15) 8/13....105
Update 9/30/2012 - we close out the books.....it was a warm September.....a record for days over 90....but we didn't hit 100 one time in Sept. Summer ended 9?22...didn't begin until June 22...yet...we have "credit" to 4 days before summer officially began.....and let it run until Sept 30 as a Summer definition.....Hmmmmmm.....WOW.....maybe the almanac was right on again IF we only keep summer to the official summer days.....yep....I declare it....ANOTHER winning forecast!
Update 9/6/2012 - well, it appears that there are broiling days in the forecast. That little heat spell from 8/8-8/13 did us in this year from being right on the money. I'd have to declare the Almanac as a pretty effective weather picker......as usual. It's as effective as any forecasting I've ever seen.....let alone long term forecasting
Update 8/22/2012 - still just a 2 scant days over the prediction........hey....that's not bad. What weather forecaster would step in front of a camera and predict a Sacramento summer? No 100 days in sight yet. AND....as a reminder...the almanac starts on Memorial Day weekend....far before the end of Summer....but it does shut down when summer officially ends.
Update 8/14/2012 - well, it's official now. A tough year for The Ol' Almanac. I'm not sure what today's temp will get to but it will get over the century mark. 13 days or less was the call. Looks like we will be ducking under the 100 mark for the next week or so.
Update 8/9/2012 - it looks like the Almanc will fail miserably in the first time since it has been published. The original call was 13 days of 100 or less.....we are at 10.....with 6 days predicted in a row of the temps that we hate here in this area when they get strung one after another. Oh well....considering it is a weather prediction.....and it's only been wrong....predicting summer highs.....the almanac is OK with that. Onward to next year!
Update 7/27/2012 - though the average number of days over 100 around here is 21.....the last four years have averaged 44. People say, "Nutster, you have too much time on your hands." Well.....people have different interests. It's also nice because I have all the stats RIGHT here at NuttersNotes. This one interests me because there is one thing I KNOW from living around this place for so long. When we get ALL THOSE DAYS over 100.......20+.......people UN-HappyUP!!! and all you hear is, "it's so dang hot." I talk to people from other parts of the state, "it's so hot up there in Sacramento." I now counter........well...........not really..........not for the last 5 years. It assists me in being an Ambassador for our GREAT place to live.
Update 7/26/2012 - two more on the books since the last report. The rest of July is looking good for under 100. We have all of August to get through. We'll see how the Ol Almanac holds up this year. Short of a BLAZING August, it will be another pleasant We were only 89-90 today and looking the same for tomorrow. Sacramento summer.....well under the average days over 100 of 22.
Update 7/16/2012 - we got a few hot ones since last checking in. We are up to 7. Global warming to upend "da almanac"?
Update 7/9/2012 - a whole bunch of nothing to report.........by the next time I report, due to the jet stream moving north, the days could easily go from 4 to 9. We are into the hottest month of the year...with the second one to come. Will this be the first time since going "on-line" that the Almanac may be wrong?
Update 6/21/2012 - wow!!! a little heat spell.... 4 days at 100 or above....and summer hasn't even started yet...............................but........wink.........cooling trend on the way. Love/trust the almanac
Update 6/11/2012 - not much to report....still at 1....caught some 90's....looking at 2 weeks between 90-100........hoping we can keep it under the triple digits until July
Update 6/4/2012 - we got hit with 101 on Friday to welcome in June. Funny....101 on Friday....69 and raining today, Monday.
ORIGINAL POST 5/29/2012
From 1971-2000 - the average number of days over 100 is 22. This makes the accuracy of the Ol Nutter Almanac all the more impressive.
The weather this last weekend - would dictate a prediction of 10 days or less of 100 degree days in Sacramento (per weather.com).
Yet - a prediction like that is craaaaaaaaaaaaazy...........
Though it was correctly predicted - last year.
We can't jeopordize the almanac - two years in a row. 15 days or less is assured........
......but - we'll up the ante a bit. Here now is your official prediction for 2012........(drumroll)
There will be 13 or less days of 100 degrees or more in Sacramemento (per weather.com) for the summer of 2012 - and, for our purposes, summer starts TODAY.
And, as always - the Ol Nutter Almanac is GUARANTEED to be somewhat reliable
2011 Ol Nutter Almanac 10 or less predicted....7 actual
2010 Ol Nutter Almanac 13 or less predicted.....7 actual
2009 Ol Nutter Almanac 10-15 predicted.........15 actual
