Days Predicted: 10
Days to Date: 23
The DAYS (as reported by Weather.com for Roseville, CA 95678)
1) 6/10 - 101 2) 6/11 - 103 3) 6/12 - 103 4) 6/18 - 104 5) 6/19 - 100 6) 7/12- 100
7) 7/13 - 102. 8) 7/22 - 101 9) 7/23 -101 10) 7/24 - 102 11) 7/25 - 103 12) 7/26 - 100
13) 7/27 - 103 14) 7/28 - 106 15) 8/3 - 100 16) 8/4 -100 17) 8/14 - 103 18) 8/15 - 105 19) 8/23 - 100 20) 8/24 - 100 21) 8/25 - 102 22) 8/26 - 102 23) 8/27 - 102
FINAL UPDATE - well, we knew it was a long shot any time you predict 10 days or less. Historically, 23 is still a lot of days. It was less than the last three years by a bunch! Yet, it was dramatically higher than the 7 years that proceeded those. The last three were the hottest on record!
Our last 4 summers have been dramatically warmer. June, July, and August had average highs that were 4, 2, and 3 degrees respectively higher than the traditional average for those months.
UPDATE 8/23 - well.....more of a pounding over the last 2.5 weeks...but not as bad as it sometimes is. We have a few more century days looking out the windshield. This is going to be and interesting yea to "deck up" against the last few when it is all done. We had that one stretch of 7 days in a row starting July 22....till then, July, the hottest month usually, had been fairly tame. It went SCREAMING out this year!!!
UPDATE 8/4 -the almanac took on a little heat since the last update. Hate those 100 degree days...I mean...yeah, you have to draw the line SOMEWHERE....but....just one degree less and we would only be at 11 days.
UPDATE 7/24 - it's been a nice July run. The century mark only hit a couple of times. The official number isn't in for today but we got triple digits....and 4 more on the way. Yep, all 10 days will be used up before the end of July...and then some. Could we go August without 100? Unlikely. The prediction was bold at the beginning of the year. It could be, with global warming, the traditional guidelines for the Almanac don't apply.
UPDATE 7/11 - it has been awesome to NOT update this thing! We MAY run into the century mark in the next week....but it would be just barely. I can live with that.
UPDATE 6/23 - well...how can the Almanac have a chance? We burned through half the 100 degree days before summer officially started. July...August...the hot months ahead. LOOKS like a loser...BUT...let's allow it to play out. We don't have anything close to 100 predicted for the next week as we enter the hottest time of year.
UPDATE 6/10 - another week gone by dodging some bullets. This will likely come to an end in the coming week....like when the numbers come in on TODAY and TOMORROW.
UPDATE 6/2 - one week in...nothing close to 100. Though it will get warmer at the end of the coming week, no triple digits on the horizon. "Cool summer...cool summer...cool summer" is my mantra
Here we go again - the last four years of RECORD breaking heat? The Almanac just couldn't predict something like that! Nobody could.
So, on the heels of that - how can the Almanac even THINK about making the prediction it is about to make this year?
Call it crazy - it is going to be an EXTREMELY pleasant summer in our area. Yep, the Almanac just said that despite recent history. It's what the Almanac does. It is all based pseudoscientifically.
This summer - there will be 10 days or LESS (emphasis on the less) of 100 degree days
2019 Ol Nutter Almanac. 10 days or less.....23 Actual
2018 Ol Nutter Almanac 11-16 predicted.....29 actual
2017 Ol Nutter Almanac 10-14 predicted.....34 actual
2016 Ol Nutter Almanac 15-18 predicted .....30 actual
2015 Ol Nutter Almanac 12 or less predicted...16 actual
2014 Ol Nutter Almanac 11-13 predicted......14 actual
