The Ol Nutter Almanac 2013

It's that time of year again!!! You ALL want to know....just what kind

of summer are we looking at....and...as usual...my system is 100% 

guaranteed to be somewhat reliable!

THE CALL - we will have 13 days or less of 100 degree days this summer in the Sacramento/Roseville area....and it would NOT shock me if we have 10 days or less

The Days - 1) 6/7....103  2) 6/8...108 3) 6/28...103 4) 6/29....105 5) 6/30...106 6) 7/1...104

7) 7/2...103 8) 7/3...104  9) 7/4....109  10)...8/19...101...11) 9/8...100 12) 9/9,,,101  

Final HappyUP!!!!date - let's just seal it off for the year now that summer has passed....and all of us pay homage to the WONDER that IS.........Ye Ol Nutter Almanac!!!  Always guaranteed to be....somewhat reliable! (Though....in looking at it's track record....seems you can pretty much take it to the bank!)

9/18/13 HappyUP!!!date - summer isn't officially over yet...still have a few more days to duck....but nothing in the forecast predicting anything close to the century mark.  After that testy hot spell in early July, it appears that the Ol Nutter Almanac will once again prove it's "science."

9/6/13 HappyUP!!!date - yet another week of nothing over 100.  We have a call for some 100 in the next few days.  After that hot spell in July, it looked like the Ol Nutter Almanac was BLOWN OUT! We'll see

8/30/13 HappyUP!!!date - not another 100 degree day in the past....and not another one predicted for the next week.  Niiiiizzzze

8/20/13 HappyUP!!!date - doggone it...snuck in another 100 degree day yesterday.  Cooler days ahead in the forecast though

8/14/13 HappyUP!!!date - another gorgeous week in the books.  We may test 100 today but the call is for 99....and then some cooling.  Who knows if the Almanac will be right on the money this year?....but, other than that little spell at the end of June/beginning of July, it's been a VERY pleasant summer.

8/5 HappyUP!!!date - another great week for the Almanac....with cool summer weather planned for the week ahead.  It's going to be a stretch but the Almanac, which was written off a month ago, may be proving itself yet again.

7/28 HappyUP!!!date - we were knocking at the door since last update...but nothing cracked the century mark since that sizzling heat wave of early July.  HappyUP!!!

7/19 HappyUP!!!date - only 99 today...whew...that was close!!!

7/12 HappyUP!!!date - a couple of 99 degree days here pre weather.com....but nothing else to add to the total

7/6 HappyUP!!!date - DONE with the heat snap....the Ol Almanac took a beating over the last week.  IF the almanac can keep up it's fairly impeccable record, 4 more days of 100 or more would be just lovely!

6/30 UPDATE - four triple digit days down.........and a whole week more coming at us!  Hmmmm....what if....juuuuuuuhhhhhhhssssssst what if?.....we expire all of the 100 degree days in this little "hot pop" and the Almanac is still correct for the year?  THAT would be niiiizzzzze!

6/25 UPDATE- uh oh.......the unthinkable could happen! The Ol Nutter Almanac may be looking at it's first major miss since it has been formally published. Beginning this Thursday, per Accuweather.com, we are looking at 15 straight days of 100 degrees or more.  

While it happens here in the valley, a 2 week heat wave like this has not hit us in years.  Lots of implications to that which will be far more significant than Ol Nutter having an off year.

6/22 UPDATE - I just praise my CAJONES....for even trying to do something NO meteorolgists would even dare to do...predict 100 degree days in Sac for the summer year after year.  I give myself a little extra juice cuz, as I made the prediction, I was looking at a BLAZING predicted weekend. I had room to fudge it a couple of days....it would have even been acceptable under my model...but I didn't. I still took the risk. We sit here on 6/22....only 2 days over 100 now....and we are IN summer as of yesterday.

6/5 UPDATE - we got by the first Almanac weekend without hitting those dreaded triple digits. We won't be as lucky this weekend.  Fri/Sat/Sun are all going to be Blazing!

Tricky call - this year.  The Ol Nutter Almanac always goes off the Jazz Festival Weekend weather.

This year - it was problematic. The Almanac is geared to go off of the weather toward the end of May. This year's festival fell as far away from the end of the month that it could.

It rained - on the last day of the fest.  THAT means 10 days or less of 100 degree weather. THAT is a BOLD call (which has been right in the past many times).

Yet - we are turning around and staring at 100 degrees on the following weekend....CRAZY.  100 degrees on festival weekend means 20 days of 100 or more.

I did an extrapolation - it would be a NO BRAINER (tho still risky) to call 15 days or less of 100 degrees this summer.....

...I won't do - the easy way out....even though it cost me NAILING the exact number of days when I did the same thing last year.  

THE CALL - we will have 13 days or less of 100 degree days this summer in the Sacramento/Roseville area....and it would NOT shock me if we have 10 days or less

As always - the measurement will be the weather.com website for Roseville, California

Apply that sunscreen, kids - if you are someone that needs to.  

It will be a WONDERFULLY -  mild summer in the hot valley!

2013 Ol Nutter Almanac  13 or less prediceted....12 actual

2012 Ol Nutter Almanac  13 or less predicted...15 actual

2011 Ol Nutter Almanac  10 or less predicted....7 actual

2010 Ol Nutter Almanac 13 or less predicted.....7 actual

2009 Ol Nutter Almanac 10-15 predicted.........15 actual

2008 Ol Nutter Almanac 10-15 predicted.........15 actual