Thursday, August 04, 2022

The Ol Nutter Almanac 2022

                                          


Days Predicted:  25-30 
Days to Date:  27


The Days:  1)6/10..103 2) 6/11..100  3) 6/21..104 4) 6/22....101 5) 6/23...102. 6) 6/24..103 7) 6/25...104   8) 6/26...104  9) 6/27...105.  10)  6/28...103  11) 7/10...101. 12) 7/11...105 13) 7/12...101 14) 7/14...100. 15) 7/15...100.  16) 7/16...106.  17) 7/17...104 18) 7/18...103 19) 7/19...102.   20)  7/20...104 
21) 7/21...103  22) 7/22...102 23) 7/23...100  24) 7/24...103. 25) 7/28...101 26) 8/2...103 27) 8/3...104


8/1//2022 UPDATE - the hottest month historically is in the books. Not a lot of 100 degrees in the immediate forecast. Who knows? We could keep it under the 30. The average temperature is a bit cooler than the average of the last 4 summers. I see that as an extremely positive note

7/23/2022 UPDATE - nine straight days at 100 or more....IMPRESSIVE!!! In THEORY, we should get a day or two off pretty soon and ONLY be in upper 90's. There is a decent chance, however, that we could go another 9 days at the century level. To that I would say, "let's just go for it!" What the heck! Let's make it a big and burly summer! 


7/12/2022 UPDATE. - the end of June was a RIPPER.  We got a nice little respite at the beginning of July. Even with the last few days over 100, we are running 5 to 6 degrees cooler this July than the last four summer's average.

6/21/2022  UPDATE - it WAS a hopeful start. We'll toss another triple in today and probably 5-6 more in by the next update

6/1/2022....Well...here we go again - for another year of what has pretty much become an effort of futility. The climate change we have experienced for 6 straight years has DESTROYED the previous model for predictability regarding days at 100 or above in Roseville, CA. All temps are validated by Weather.com. 

We had an extremely enjoyable Memorial Day weekend - in another time, it would be a 10-15 days forecast.  We all know that ship hit the seas 6 years ago.  

This will be going out on a limb - and a bit of wishful thinking. Let's call this year 25-30 again. Wow! Its hard to believe I am HOPING for ONLY 25 days of 100. My personal preference is for 0 to 12 . 


2021 Ol Nutter Almanac    25 to 30 days predicted....41 actual
2020 Ol Nutter Almanac    17 to 22 days predicted ...36 actual
2019 Ol Nutter Almanac.   10 days or less.....23 actual
2018 Ol Nutter Almanac   11-16 predicted.....29 actual
2017 Ol Nutter Almanac   10-14 predicted.....34 actual
2016 Ol Nutter Almanac  15-18 predicted .....30 actual
2015 Ol Nutter Almanac  12 or less predicted...16 actual
2014 Ol Nutter Almanac  11-13 predicted......14 actual
2013 Ol Nutter Almanac  13 or less prediceted....12 actual
2012 Ol Nutter Almanac  13 or less predicted...15 actual
2011 Ol Nutter Almanac  10 or less predicted....7 actual
2010 Ol Nutter Almanac 13 or less predicted.....7 actual
2009 Ol Nutter Almanac 10-15 predicted.........15 actual
2008 Ol Nutter Almanac 10-15 predicted.........15 actual